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Beating The Property Clock

12 Noon To 3pm – Hot Spot

As well as being a buy-to-let multi-millionaire, Ajay Ahuja is a chartered accountant. He is founder and owner of Accountants Direct which provides references for the self-employed for mortgaging purposes. He advises various local councils and accommodation projects and works to provide innovative solutions to problems facing the homeless. He also consults with corporations and private clients to help build property portfolios for maximum gain.

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At the start – 12 noon

The clock strikes 12 noon – but there’s no gong! At 12 noon hardly anyone knows that this area is a gold mine. It’s a buyers’ market. No one wants these properties and there are plenty of vendors desperate to sell. You walk in to the estate agents saying you want to buy and they roll out the red carpet! These agents have become accustomed to only vendors walking in to their office wishing to sell but at last they have stumbled across a buyer! You, with your hard earned cash and the bank’s money, want to buy big time.

So you ask the agent what he has got. He then proceeds to pull out of his filing cabinet details of over 20 properties all yielding in excess of 12%! You ask him what the areas are like and he says they’re fine. You’re not so sure. You are always told never to believe an estate agent. You flick further through the details and you’re seeing studios and one-bed flats yielding in excess of 20%. You ask to view all of the properties and to your surprise he says no problem. He then books half the day to show you all the properties. A lot of them are empty as no one wants them as investments and some of the areas look a bit rough. However, you can be assured that it is only a matter of time before other investors follow and regenerate the area to a solid rental area.

Now you have to be a brave man to buy when it’s 12 noon. However, if you are brave, you will make the fortunes I have done as you have understood the concept of supply and demand. I had an email from someone who asked my advice. He was concerned that there was an oversupply of housing in Hull, East Yorkshire, and that if he bought a property it would not let out. I asked him ‘well, what would it be like if it was the other way round – there was an under-supply of housing?’ He would not have been sending me the email as the property prices in Hull would be much higher and thus not worth considering. So you have to go where there is low demand for property and wait for the demand to rise. And you can be sure it will rise as the only way is up.

12 noon – 3pm

Yields of 12% – 20% are unsustainable. If you were to find such a place that remained at this level you would be silly not to plough all of your savings and future income in to this area. This is because you will make a solid £50,000 out of every £100,000 invested if you geared up and bought wisely. If you took a risk you could make far more. However, a good thing never lasts forever. I will show you how it goes from 12 noon to 3pm. That is to say that the area goes from +growth and +yield to +growth and – yield.

Let’s just say that it is not only me that has found this magic area that is yielding in excess of 12%. So I buy as much as I can afford from every estate agent in the area. As soon as something comes on the market that meets my criteria I buy without hesitation. It won’t be long before another professional investor finds this area too as there a number of professional investors looking for these exact areas! Some professional investors have a high buying quota, sometimes in to the hundreds. I have a high quota, typically around 50, but there are much bigger sharks out there. So when other professional investors get wind of this magic area a bidding war commences.

It starts with properties being sold within 24 hours of the property coming on to the market at full asking price. This sends signals to the vendors that they are selling their properties too cheap so they increase their selling prices. Usually the vendors underestimate how much to put up their prices by (due to the market being stagnant only several months before and vendors simply can’t believe that prices can get any higher) and professional investors pay over their asking price. This is because a professional investor has set criteria to buy to. For example I have a criteria of buying at 12% yield. So if I see a property for £30,000 and I know it will still yield 12% at £35,000, and it’s a competitive market, then I would be silly not to offer £35,000 so as to ensure that I got the property.

What we then see is a rapid increase in prices. It’s all about who will accept the lowest yield. The market quickly changes from a buyers’ market to a sellers’ market. All the time this is happening the owner-occupiers – typically first-time buyers – are trying to get a look in. They are even struggling to get properties as the investors are snapping them up before they’ve had a chance to even look at them.

Now, there are professional investors and owner-occupiers bidding in this market. Prices have risen dramatically. The speculative investor now gets wind of what has been going on. He has heard the stories of dramatic price increases and properties selling for over their asking price. The speculative investor is now thinking that they can buy a property, hold for a year or two and then sell at a massive profit. Let’s welcome the speculative investor as a new entrant to the market.

The speculative investor is not the most clever of investors. It’s unlikely that they do this as a full time profession but as a secondary source of income to their full time job. They may never have bought a property before apart from the one they live in (is this you?). This is where the errors start to occur. The speculative investor is not familiar with net yield and overestimates what the property will return. They overestimate the rent, underestimate the void periods, mortgage payments and repairs. However, blinded by the historic growth the speculative investor will push prices beyond the reach of the professional investor (as the professional investor now knows at that price it is a negative yield i.e. the property will take money out of his pocket) and out-bid the professional. Say goodbye to the good times because now at this point – the clock strikes 3pm.

Looking at this as a sweeping hand of the clock:

Strategies within a hot spot

In a nutshell:

This may seem a bit extreme. But this is the only way you win at this game. You’ve got to bite the bullet and go for it. Hot spots do not last for long. I’ve seen hot spots go to cooling spots in three months. I’ve made £200,000 in capital growth for literally ten days’ work of finding the right properties. And the funny thing is that this £200,000 will be accessed to buy in another hot spot and I’ll simply repeat the process. This is how I have made a consistent £500,000 per year. So if you lock in your position in a hot spot early then you can sit back and watch your investments rocket as late entrants to the market bid prices up. The more you buy the more you make. It’s as simple as that. This strategy has really only two real components:

  • Borrow from everywhere.
  • Buy everything.

Borrow from everywhere

You need to raise cash fast if you are going to exploit as much as you can within the hot spot. This cash will be used as deposits for each flat or house you choose to buy. Here are some quick ways of raising cash, starting with the cheapest first, to pump into a newly discovered hot spot.

Source

Cost

Narrative

Personal assets

0%

Sell all your obsolete assets. Notice I say obsolete assets. I am not saying sell the clothes off your back, just the assets you no longer use. This could be second cars, jewellery, paintings, or anything you have that could be of value.

 

 

Do not worry if you have a certain attachment to something. You’ll be able to buy it back with all the profits you make from following the property clock!

Savings

BoE base rate

If you’ve got savings then use them! The return you will be currently receiving will be well in to single digits so it really is a no brainer. Would you rather have a 35% return on your money or 5%?

Endowment policies or company shares

BoE base rate + 3%

If you have an IFA then speak to them before you do what I suggest as I shouldn’t want you to seek me out for advising you in the wrong way. But my advice is: CASH THEM IN!

 

 

You will never get rich by investing a few thousand pounds in well quoted stocks, shares or saving schemes. Whereas you at least stand a chance of making a lot of money from very little in property investment.

Borrow from family

BoE + 4%

You would be surprised how willing some of your older family members may be to lend you a bit of cash. They might be impressed that you want to do something about your retirement and are not doing the same as everyone else and doing NOTHING!

 

 

A family member may be more willing to give you assets if you are proposing to invest it further, rather than simply squandering it on a new car or holiday.

 

 

Some family members may see it as giving you your inheritance early. There are also some tax advantages for those worth more than £285,000 in giving you your inheritance early. Speak to your local accountant, but the basic rule of thumb is if they give you assets and they do not die within seven years then you get the assets free of inheritance tax.

Secured borrowings

BoE+2-7%

Secured borrowings means taking out loans with you offering the security of your assets, usually your own home.

 

 

The cheapest way to do this is to go to your current mortgage lender and ask them for a further advance. Usually you can have the money within 14 days. If they say no then remortgage with another lender. There are so many products out there I’m sure you’ll be able to find a deal that is better than your current mortgage.

 

 

If that doesn’t work then consider getting a second charge loan, which is where another lender lends on your existing equity in your home. These a bit more pricey but not that much when considering you will be investing in assets that will return you over 35% a year.

Unsecured borrowings

BoE+2-15%

Loans
I’ve got many a loan from unsecured lenders. They charge anywhere from 6% right up to 30%, but are well worth it if you can find the right property investments.

 

 

Approach your high street bank first, then the other high street banks, and then after that go to a broker. You can get a loan broker from reading the small ads in the national newspapers.

 

 

Overdrafts
Approach your current bank where you have your current account and ask them for an overdraft. I did this many years ago and to my surprise got £10,000.

 

 

Last year I asked for a £100,000 overdraft. The decision didn’t go my way but at least I asked ...

 

 

Credit cards
This is a great source of cheap finance. Yes, I did say cheap. One of my credit cards begs me to borrow for seven months at 0%. So I buy properties with this money, do the property up and then remortgage them. All due to the nice people at MBNA – thanks guys!

Get a partner

Dependent

This is the most expensive way to raise finance as they get a share. But its also the cheapest way to raise finance if the project goes bust! That’s because the partner takes on the financial risk.

 

 

If it’s the only way you can enter the property market then do so, otherwise leave this strategy till last.

This is not an exhaustive list. You may have other good ideas for raising finance but if you can’t raise the finance then you can forget the ‘get rich quick’ dream. It’s as simple as that. You need money to make money. The great thing about property investment is that you do not need that much to participate. This is because the majority of the purchase price is funded by the bank (typically 85%). So if you want to buy £100,000 worth of property you need £15,000. If property prices double in a year (which happens sometimes in hot spots) then your £15,000 makes you £100,000. That’s not bad for doing nothing!

Buy everything

Don’t hang about, in other words. Check how much cash you’ve got and what you can get your hands on to work out how many properties you can buy. Once you have a set quota then see everything that’s on the market. The way you get to see everything so that you get the best of what’s available is as follows.

Action

Why

Get on every estate agent’s mailing list

Find out all the contact details for every estate agent in the area. You can get this by visiting www.yell.com. Ring them up and tell them you are looking for properties up to £xxx,000, any type and any area. This will ensure that you will get a constant flow of opportunities in your letter box every other day.

Ring every estate agent

Properties come on to the market before the details have been printed. The only way you are going to find out about these properties is if you ring up and ask if anything new has come on since you last received their mailshot.

Visit every estate agent’s website and set up email alerts

One way of getting details before they go to print is to go on the agent’s website. If the agency is run well the site will be updated regularly and if you sign up with their email alert system you will instantly get the details of the new property as it is added. Some agents even have mobile sms text alerts!

Stay up there for a week

You may be competing with locals in the area. The only way you can compete with them is to be a local too! Find a cheap B and B, take a week off work and get hunting. A week’s work in a hot spot can earn you four times your annual salary – and more!

Pay someone to look on your behalf

If you do work full time and you have a high buying quota then pay someone (you can trust!) to look on your behalf. Get them to take digital photos and get them to email them to you. I do this and pay them £10 per property. If he finds one property worth buying out of 25 then he’s done well. He actually finds one property out of every two that’s worth buying so he does fantastically.

Check local press

Some deals I have found have been in the local paper. Some people hate estate agents and refuse to pay their high selling fees. Why pay over £1,000 to a slick agent when you can pay your local paper £10 for a small box ad? Scan all local press for property ads.

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